We have learned that the most effective approaches to address the impacts of climate change are those that take into consideration overall national development objectives and include broad stakeholder engagement across all levels of governance (national, subnational, local) and all vulnerable sectors of the economy. Schelling, T. (1992), ‘Some Economics of Global Warming’, American Economic Review (1989), Greenhouse: Planning for Climate Change, Melbourne: CSIRO. 14, No. 2: Assessments in Semi-Arid Areas, Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer. Schimmelpfennig, D., J. Lewandrowski, J. Reilly, M. Tsigas, and I. Parry (1996), Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change: Issues of Long run Sustainability, Economic Research Service Agricultural Economic Report No. 82(1), 1–14. Winters, P., R. Murgai, A. de Janvry, E. Sadoulet, and G. Frisvold (1995), ‘Climate Change and Agriculture: An Analysis of the Effects to Developing Economies’, in G. Frisvold and B. Kuhn, eds., Global Environmental Change and Agriculture: Assessing the Impacts, Washington, D. C.: USDA, Economic Research Service, Forthcoming. World Bank (various issues), World Bank Tables, The World Bank, Washington D. C. University of California at Berkeley, USA, Paul Winters, Rinku Murgai, Elisabeth Sadoulet & Alain de Janvry, University of California, Berkeley, CA, 94720-3310, USA), You can also search for this author in Houghton, J., B. Callander and S. Varney, eds. In these projections, climate change is a global issue with potential impacts for every country. Hurricanes, cyclones and typhoons devastate millions of people, leaving them in absolute poverty after ruthlessly sweeping away their communities. Kane, S., J. Reilly and J. Tobey (1991), Climate Change: Economic Implications for World Agriculture, AER647, USDA-Economic Research Service, Washington D. C. Kokoski, M. and V. K. Smith (1987), ‘A General Equilibrium Analysis of Partial Equilibrium Welfare Measures’, American Economic Review 1 Madison, WI: Crop Science Society of America. Bass, B., H. Venema, and E. Schiller (1996), ‘Adaptation of Food Production to Drought in the Senegal River Basin’, in T. E. Downing, ed., Climate Change and World Food Security, Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. Wolfe, D. and J. Erikson (1993), ‘Carbon Dioxide Effects on Plants: Uncertainties and Implications forModeling Crop Response to Climate Change’, in H. Kaiser and T. Drennen, eds., Agricultural Dimensions of Global Change, Delray Beach FL: St. Lucie Press. 703, Washington, U. S. Department of Agriculture. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation. The impact of global climate change on developing countries is analyzed using CGE-multimarket models for three archetype economies representing the poor cereal importing nations of Africa, Asia, and Latin America. 50 years of urbanization in Africa : examining the role of climate change, LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, Drought and Population Mobility in Rural Ethiopia, The effect of climate change on economic growth: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa, Projecting future crop productivity for global economic modeling, Estimation of income elasticities and their use in a CGE model in Palestine, Temperature Shocks and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Last Half Century, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, A Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis of Adaptation to Climate Change in Ethiopia, Economic Impact of Climate Change on Crop Production in Ethiopia: Evidence from Cross-section Measures, Adaptation to climate change and economic growth in developing countries, How will climate change spatially affect agriculture production in Ethiopia? General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/pltudde.html . To explore the local impacts of climate change, we use a summary measure of county economic vitality that incorporates labor market, income, … As well as its serious impact on the environment and people, climate change is one of the biggest threats to economic stability. Therefore, the ongoing structural transformation in the country may underpin the resilience of the economy to climate change. 421–448, Heidelberg: Springer. 10(1), 67–92. Impacts are expressed relative to a world without climate change. Climate change is widening economic inequality across countries A new study published in the Proceedings of the National Academies of Science finds that global warming … If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form . Vally Koubi . Global warming and climate risks threaten the survival of the lemur and other endemic animal species on the island. The study shows, in worst case scenario, the effects on national GDP may add up to -8% with uneven regional effects ranging from … A changing climate affects the poorest people in developing countries the most. (1988), The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agriculture, Vol. The objective is to compare the effects of climate change on the macroeconomic performance, sectoral resource allocation, and household welfare across continents. Key to understanding these issues and concerns are the politics that underlie climate change and development interactions. Subscription will auto renew annually. Cost-free exogenous structural change scenarios in labor markets and transaction costs may offset about 20-30% of the ripple effects of climate change. 84(4), 753–771. This study assesses the economy-wide and regional effects of climate change induced productivity and labor supply shocks in agriculture in Ethiopia. Heat stress, droughts, and flooding events may lead to reductions in crop yields and livestock productivity. According to the World Health Organization, as of the year 2030, climate change is expected to contribute to approximately 250,000 additional deaths per year, from malnutrition, malaria, diarrhea and heat stress. Areas that are already affected by drought, such as Australia and the Sahel in Africa, will likely experience reductio… de Melo, J. and S. Robinson (1982), ‘Trade Adjustment Policies and Income Distribution in Three Archetype Developing Countries’, Journal of Development Economics This allows to link your profile to this item. Tobey, J., J. Reilly and S. Kane (1992), ‘Economic Implications of Global Climate Change for World Agriculture’, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics ", Sherman Robinson & Kenneth Strzepek & Dirk Willenbockel, 2011. Both scenarios are disastrous to the economy, especially in a developing country. It highlights the risks to which African countries are exposed The objective is to compare the effects of climate change on the macroeconomic performance, sectoral resource allocation, and household welfare across continents. This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution. The World Bank’s global study on adaptation costs— Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change (EACC)—released in 2009 found that the price tag of adapting to climate change in developing countries to be $75-$100 billion per year for the period 2010 to 2050. Sadoulet, E., S. Subramanian, and A. de Janvry (1992), ‘Adjusting to a Food Price Increase in the Context of Stabilization Policies: An Analysis Using Archetype Financial CGEs for Developing Countries’, Working Paper, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California at Berkeley. W. J. Wouter Botzen, Olivier Deschenes, and ; Mark Sanders; Vol. ", Christoph Müller & Richard D. Robertson, 2014. Wang, F. and Z. Zhao (1996), ‘Climate Change and the Agro-ecoystems of in China’, in T. Downing, ed., Climate Change and World Food Security, Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. ", Thornton, P.K. Has climate change driven urbanization in Africa? Magadaza, C. (1996), ‘Climate Change: Some Likely Multiple Impacts in Southern Africa’, in T. E. Downing, ed., Climate Change and World Food Security, Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag. ", Temesgen Tadesse Deressa & Rashid M. Hassan, 2009. ), 2013. ", S. Niggol Seo & Robert Mendelsohn, 2008. Developing dilemma. Rosenzweig, C. (1985), ‘Potential for CO2 - Induced Climate Effects on North American Wheat-Producing Regions’, Climatic Change The economic impacts of climate change are the part of the economics of climate change related to the effects of climate change. Learn more about Institutional subscriptions. Tsigas, M., G. Frisvold, and B. Kuhn (1996), ‘Global Climate Change and Agriculture’, in T. Hertel, ed., Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and Applications, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Washington, DC: U. S. Department of Agriculture. Quantifying the economic effects of climate change is a crucial step for planning adaptation in developing countries. volume 12, pages1–24(1998)Cite this article. 1 . 4(1), 7–23. Quantifying the economic effects of climate change is a crucial step for planning adaptation in developing countries. This study assesses the economy-wide and regional effects of climate change induced productivity and labor supply shocks in agriculture in Ethiopia. Simulations help identify those … (1992), The Potential Socioeconomic Effects of Climate Change in South-East Asia, U. N. Environmental Programme, Nairobi. Matthews, R., M. Kropff, D. Bachelet and H. van Laar (1994), ‘The Impact of Global Climate Change on Rice Production in Asia: A Simulation Study’, Environmental Research Laboratory Report No. industrialised countries, or through migration pressures. ", de Boer, P.M.C. Rosenzweig, C. and A. Iglesias, eds. In the rural farming villages, the picture is grim as the short-term impacts of climate change are being felt, with women and children bearing the brunt of climate change. Sivakumar, M. (1993), ‘Global Climate Change and Crop Production in the Sudano-Sahelian Zone of West Africa’, in International Crop Science, Vol. The Economic Impacts of Natural Disasters: A Review of Models and Empirical Studies . There are also major ethical issues regarding developed economy emissions, national mitigation and adaptation policies, and negotiations in international and regional fora. This report assesses economic growth and development risks and opportunities for African countries in two scenarios of future climate changes: a low scenario that until mid-century is consistent with the Paris Agreement (well below 2˚C, pursue 1.5°C) and a high-warming scenario (2˚C by 2050, exceeding 4˚C by 2100). Kailin Kroetz, Yusuke Kuwayama, and ; Caroline Vexler; Vol. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008204419284, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008204419284, Over 10 million scientific documents at your fingertips, Not logged in ", Waithaka, Michael & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Kyotalimye, Miriam (ed. Climate Change Impact Table 1 shows the national level average5 yield implication estimates arising under climate change as developed by the biophysical models. A report by the Climate Vulnerability Monitor in 2012 estimated that climate change causes 400,000 deaths on average each year, mainly due to hunger and communicable diseases in developing countries. This study assesses the economy-wide and regional effects of climate change induced productivity and labor supply shocks in agriculture in Ethiopia. (1993), Implications of Climate Change for International Agriculture: Crop Modeling Study, Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D. C. Rosenzweig, C. and M. Parry (1993), ‘Potential Impacts of Climate Change on World Food Supply: A Summary of a Recent International Study’, in H. Kaiser and T. Drennen, eds., Agricultural Dimensions of Global Climate Change, Delray Beach, FL: St. Lucie Press. Climate change is likely to reduce economic growth in developing countries; significant investments in climate change adaptation are necessary Climate change is likely to have a significant impact on the economies of developing countries. The plot above shows the projected impacts of climate change on GDP per capita between now and 2100 for the World. Wilks, D. (1989), ‘Estimating the Consequences of CO2 - Induced Climatic Change on North American Grain Agriculture Using General Circulation Model Information’, Climatic Change ETH Zurich and University of Bern. They are least able to recover from climate stresses and their economic growth is highly dependent on climate-sensitive sectors. Akong'a, T., E. Downing, N. Konijn, D. Mungai, H. Muturi, and H. Potter (1988), ‘The Effects of Climatic Variations on Agriculture in Central and Eastern Kenya’, in M. Parry, T. Carter, and N. Konijn, eds., The Impact of Climatic Variations on Agriculture, Vol. ", Amsalu Woldie Yalew & Georg Hirte & Hermann Lotze-Campen & Stefan Tscharaktschiew, 2018. If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. By 2050, cumulative damages from climate change may reach $8 trillion, impoverishing by 3% of gross world product and the poorest regions by more of their gross domestic … & van de Steeg, J. 4. 2 29 Sep 2020. Without adaptation and … The organization has emphasized the need for three priority actions: resources to help stop the spread of the virus, support to respond during the outbreak itself, and resources to prevent the economic collapse of developing countries. Countervailing policies to mitigate negative effects should focus on integration in the international market and the production of food crops in Africa, and on the production of export crops in Latin America and Asia. © 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG. 14, 153–174. Simulations help identify those underlying structural features of economies which are the primary determinants of differential impacts; these are suggestive of policy instruments to countervail undesirable effects. ", Hertel, Thomas W. & Lobell, David B., 2012. 50(4), 391–416. Fischer, G., K. Frohberg, M. L. Parry, and C. Rosenzweig (1994), ‘Climate Change and World Food Supply, Demand and Trade: Who benefits, Who loses?’, Global Environmental Change Environmental and Resource Economics 12, 1–24 (1998). Cline, W. R. (1992), The Economics of Global Warming, Institute for International Economics, Washington, D. C. Crosson, P. (1993), ‘Impact of Climate Change on the Agriculture and Economy of Missouri, Iowa, Nebraska, and Kansas (MINK) Region’, in H. Kaiser and T. Drennen, eds., Agricultural Dimensions of Global Climate Change, Delray Beach, FL: St. Lucie Press. The report predicts climate change will create economic winners and losers at both individual and sectoral level, but developing countries will suffer disproportionately from rise in temperatures since they are situated in relatively hot climates. ", Waithaka, Michael & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Kyotalimye, Miriam, 2013. The study shows, in worst case scenario, the effects on national GDP may add up to -8% with uneven regional effects ranging from -10% in agrarian regions (e.g. However, the relative impact of these events will be far different in the developed and developing worlds. & Herrero, M., 2009. Quantifying the economic effects of climate change is a crucial step for planning adaptation in developing countries. Case studies of important cereal crops, A Hybrid Top-Down, Bottom-Up Regional Computable General Equilibrium Model. In 2019, climate change contributed to extreme weather events causing at least $100 billion in damages. Parry, M. T. Carter, and N. Konijn, eds. Free. Public profiles for Economics researchers, Various rankings of research in Economics & related fields, Curated articles & papers on various economics topics, Upload your paper to be listed on RePEc and IDEAS, RePEc working paper series dedicated to the job market, Pretend you are at the helm of an economics department, Data, research, apps & more from the St. Louis Fed, Initiative for open bibliographies in Economics, Have your institution's/publisher's output listed on RePEc. ERLCOR821, Corvallis, OR: U. S. Environmental Protection Agency. In developing countries, women and girls are disproportionately affected by the negative … Climate change not only threatens lives but also the health of the global economy. 77, 331–341. Reilly, J. and N. Hohmann (1993), ‘Climate Change and Agriculture: The Role of International Trade’, American Economic Review Adams, R., B. McCarl, D. Dudek, and J. Glyer (1988), ‘Implications of Global Climate Change for Western Agriculture’, Western Journal of Agricultural Economics The pair's IAM also shows that developing countries may suffer the most from climate change effects. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc. The effects of climate change will not be uniformly distributed across the globe and there are likely to be winners and losers as the planet warms. 13, 19–42. https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/163523/1/89460421X.pdf, Economic effects of climate change in developing countries: Economy-wide and regional analysis for Ethiopia, Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change: Ethiopia, Volume 2. Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout. Within developing countries, the poor would likely be the most heavily affected by climate change. Smit, B., M. Brklacich, M. Stewart, R. McBride, R. Brown, and D. Bond (1989), ‘Sensitivity of Crop Yields and Land Resource Potential to Climate Change in Ontario, Canada’, Climatic Change Hundreds of millions of people may be at risk of climate-related poverty, especially in developing countries, if the global economy does not cut greenhouse gas emissions, a UN report warned in October. Applying a broad brush to climate effects, developing countries are more likely to disproportionately experience the negative effects … 17(1), 195–204. The impact of global climate change on developing countries is analyzed using CGE-multimarket models for three archetype economies representing the poor cereal importing nations of Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Part of Springer Nature. Developing countries have very different individual circumstances and the specific impacts of climate change on a country depend on the climate it experiences as well as its geographical, social, cultural, economic and political situations. If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. Otherwise, climate change may hamper economic progress of the country, and make rural livelihood unpredictable. Droughts or heavy rains that lead to floods are disastrous to people with no buffers or savings. MAHMADAMIN MAHMADAMINOV (Tajikistan), describing climate change as one of the greatest challenges of the times, said its unprecedented impacts disproportionately burden developing countries. ", Paul Evangelista & Nicholas Young & Jonathan Burnett, 2013. ", Peter J. Higgs & B. R. Parmenter & Russell J. Rimmer, 1988. & Missaglia, M., 2006. Climate change has the potential to reverse significant development gains made in these countries. Notably, destruction of production factors, or decrease in factor productivity may strongly affect long-run equilibrium growth even in one-sector neoclassical growth models; climatic shocks have had large impacts on growth in developing countries because of rigidities; and the introducing increasing returns has a major impact on growth dynamics, in particular through induced technical change, poverty traps, … 2 29 Sep 2020. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:tudcep:1017. ", Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmoré, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold, 2013. ", Alagidede, Paul & Adu, George & Frimpong, Prince Boakye, 2014. & Notenbaert, A. ", Henderson, J. Vernon & Storeygard, Adam & Deichmann, Uwe, 2017. A changing climate may cause major migrations of displaced peoples which will affect all countries. Annexes, Agricultural adaptation to climate change in rich and poor countries: Current modeling practice and potential for empirical contributions, Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change in Rich and Poor Countries: Current Modeling Practice and Potential for Empirical Contributions, Measuring impacts and adaptations to climate change: a structural Ricardian model of African livestock management-super-1, Growth and shocks: evidence from rural Ethiopia, Growth and Shocks: evidence from rural Ethiopia, A Multiregional, Multisectoral Model of the Australian Economy with an Illustrative Application. Lotze-Campen & Stefan Tscharaktschiew, 2018 Rozari, A. L. Chong, and negotiations in and! About how to correct material in RePEc to it, you can with! Production losses Hobbie ( 1994 ), ‘ some Economics of global ’. Niggol Seo & Robert Mendelsohn, 2008 may cause major migrations of displaced peoples which affect... 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